Analysis of the Association between Lewis turning Point and the Rural Labor Shortage - Calculations based on the Gustav -Fei Model
Since 2004, the labor shortage has radiated from the southeast coast to the whole country. Some scholars believe that this marks the arrival of Lewis turning point in China, but this can not explain the contradictory co-existence of labor surplus and employment vacancies of Chinas labor market. This paper, based on calculation with Gustav -Fei model, demonstrates the Lewis turning point has not yet arrived and that the labor market is in relative shortage, analyzes the causes of the structural shortage of migrant workers, including rural policy improvement, lag in industrial restructuring, the notion difference between the old and new migrant workers.
Labor supply Shortage of migrant workers Lewis turning point
BAO Zhenyu
Department of Public Finance, Inner Mongolia Finance and Economics College, P. R. China, 010051
国际会议
济南
英文
226-231
2011-10-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）