A New Information Exposure Situation Awareness Model Based on Cubic Exponential Smoothing and Its Prediction Method
A lot of information in the social network is accompanied by the continuous transmission of users, and there are many forms of propagation, fermentation,evolution, emergence and outbreaks, which make it difficult for analysts to predict the information dissemination situation at the next moment.However, if the information dissemination can be effectively predicted and perceived, it plays a very important role in hot event diseovery,personalized information recommendation, bad information early warning and so on.Therefore, the study of this problem is of great practical value.This paper first study of situational awareness information transmission method,including the definition of information dissemination situational awareness problem and expounds the basic thought, and analyzes the information dissemination situation and level of the modularity, the relationship between the three exponential smoothing is used for information dissemination model for situational awareness,and to evaluate the application effect of the model has carried on the detailed;In addition, this chapter also studies the prediction method of information spread outburst,including the definition of information explosion, the analysis of related factors that affect the prediction of information dissemination, and the modeling and evaluation of the information outburst prediction model.In addition,some issues related to which features are more sensitive to information explosion prediction are also studied.
Social network Information Communication Situational Awareness Propagation forecast
JIANG Wei-Jin XU Yu-Hui CHEN Jia-Hui WANG Yang
Hunan University of Commerce Institute of Big Data and Internet Innovation,Mobile E-business Collabo Hunan University of Commerce Institute of Big Data and Internet Innovation,Mobile E-business Collabo
国际会议
郑州
英文
534-547
2018-09-21（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）