The Forecasting of Grain Price Based on Grey Model

摘要：

　　The grain price has complex and nonlinear relation with many uncertain influential factors.The paper proposes a forecasting method based on grey model.The method uses the grain and goods retailing price index in 2003-2011 year to forecast the future price.The fitting error and forecasting error is less than 2.5% and 10%, respectively.In addition, the relation between grain price and many influential factors are also analyzed, which shows the price index of grain production has important influence on grain price.The forecasting result can provide the measures for administrative department to adjust the grain price.

关键词： Grey model Grain price Forecasting Fluctuation

作者: Weiya Shi Nana Qia Tiejun Yan Yitao Lian

作者单位: College of Information Science and Technology, Henan University of Technology, Zhengzhou,China, 450001;Key Laboratory of Grain Information Technology and Control, Ministry of Education, Zhengzhou,China, 450001

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: International Conference on Computational Science and Engineering Applications(CSEA2015)2015计算机科学与工程应用国际会议

会议地点: 三亚

会议语种:英文

页码: 275-278

在线出版日期: 2015-12-26（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）