STATISTICS,MONITORING AND EARLY WARNING OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS CIRCULATION AND CONSUMPTION PRICE IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE OF CHINA
In this study,the monitoring index database of agricultural products price in Guangdong province of China was constructed.It monitored 2 categories including commodity retail price index,wholesale and retail price,6 varieties and 11 fine items including agricultural products circulation index; The consumer price index of agricultural products consumption index 1 categories,4 varieties of indicators.The price circulation and consumption data of 8 agricultural products from 7 units including national bureau of statistics,Guangdong bureau of statistics,Guangdong development and reform commission and price monitoring center,Guangdong department of agriculture,Guangdong grain bureau,Guangzhou Jiangnan fruit and vegetable market,Zhengzhou Hualiang technology co.,ltd.were collected and monitored.Based on the statistics of agricultural products circulation,consumption indicators and other data,this study chose to build a general model group for agricultural products monitoring,early warning,using the combination of exponential smoothing model,and ARIMA model,the warning value of circulation and consumption of agricultural products is set based on the historical data and forecast value of circulation and consumption of agricultural products.
Agricultural product circulation price statistics Agricultural product consumption price statistics Agricultural product price monitoring Agricultural product price warning
Li Dan-xia Wan Zhong
Guangdong Academy of agricultural Sciences,Institute of Agricultural and Rural Economic Development,Guangzhou 510640;Southern China Key Laboratory of urban agriculture,Ministry of Agriculture,Guangzhou 510640
国际会议
香港
英文
52-59
2018-04-14（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）