会议专题

Simulation and analysis of T-shaped road Junction stampede using macroscopic model

  In the case of emergency crowd evacuation,the risk of congestion and stamping is definitely high in the location of T-shaped road junction.One of the most serious disasters is 2015 Mecca pilgrimage,more than 750 people have been killed and more than 900 injured 1.In order to study this stampede,this paper introduces the theory of pedestrian dynamics,using second crowd dynamic model(SCDM)to build the macroscopic crowd evacuation model.Thereby this paper simulates numerically crowd stampede occurred at T-shaped road junction between 204 street and 223 street in the Mecca pilgrimage.The critical crowd trampling density and central trampling density is obtained.The results demonstrate that around the critical crowd density,the large-scale stamping will occur once there exits even a little disturbance.Finally the crowd density distribution is showed in the form of both contour curve diagram and mesh diagram.The results of this paper can provide a novel approach to prevent the serious crowd stampede in the case of emergency.

emergency management T-shaped road junction second crowd-dynamic model crowd evacuation Mecca pilgrimage

Dong Wang Rongyong Zhao Cuiling Li Qianshan Hu Xiangke Tian Qin Zhang

CIMS Research Center,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China College of Electronic and Information Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China Electrical Engineering & Automation Department,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China

国际会议

The 2017 Service SystemEngineering Conference & 2017 Symposium on Analytics and Risk (SSEC&SAR 2017)(中国系统工程学会服务系统工程分会2017年年会暨2017年风险分析学术研讨会)

上海

英文

71-77

2017-07-07(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)