会议专题

Stability analysis for crowd evacuation based on self-organized criticality theory

  In the case of disasters,panic spread often makes crowd unstable in the area of emergency management.The crowd stampede,as typical unstable state,caused by panic spread often occurs,leading to huge fatalities.More and more pedestrians are crushed or trampled in the crowd stampedes around the world during recent decades.To study the stability of crowd evacuation,this paper introduces the self-organized criticality theory(SOCT).Then the intelligent crowd-evacuation model is employed to output the evacuation behavior.By constructing the crowd panic mapping network,the stability problem of crowd evacuation is transformed into the stability problem of panic sand-pile model,and the evacuation stability condition and instability evolution mechanism are studied further.This paper can provide scientific basis and theoretical support for rational organization,guidance of crowd evacuation and prevention of possible stampede.

emergency management self-organized criticality theory panic sand-pile model evacuation stability

Qianshan Hu Rongyong Zhao Cuiling Li Dong Wang Xiangke Tian Qin Zhang

CIMS Research Center,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China College of Electronic and Information Engineering,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China Electrical Engineering & Automation Department,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 201306,China

国际会议

The 2017 Service SystemEngineering Conference & 2017 Symposium on Analytics and Risk (SSEC&SAR 2017)(中国系统工程学会服务系统工程分会2017年年会暨2017年风险分析学术研讨会)

上海

英文

78-83

2017-07-07(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)