Analysis and prediction of the summer cooling load characteristics

摘要：

　　Nowadays,cooling load is mainly attributable to upgrade of a new high of power grid load.An accurate calculation and prediction of cooling load can better meet power demands at peak hours in summer.Based on the historical summer cooling load and temperature data of Sichuan province,the characteristics of summer cooling load and temperature in Sichuan are examined firstly.Next,the random and nonlinear relations of power load are studied.Finally,the BP neural network model optimized by the genetic algorithm(GA)is employed to achieve accurate prediction of summer cooling load in Sichuan province.Results suggest that cooling load is closely connected with temperature and air-conditioner ownership,and that the BP neural network optimized by the GA is effective in predicting summer cooling load.To sum up,this research can provide solid basis for power load scheduling.

作者: XU Hao CHEN Lipin YE Qiang REN ZhiChao LIANG Yuan

作者单位: State Grid Sichuan Economic Research Institute SGSERI Chengdu,China College of Management Science,Chengdu University of Technology Chengdu,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2017第三届机械、电子和信息技术工程国际会议(ICMITE 2017)

会议地点: 成都

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-4

在线出版日期: 2017-12-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）