Potential Mw8.1-or-above Japan earthquake before 2020 numerically predicted via ASF method

摘要：

　　A prediction attempt for next potential Mw8.1-orabove earthquake in Japan before 2020 is presented in this work via addition-subtraction frequency(ASF)method.ASF method can be configured as a model of 3,5 or 7 variables.This paper uses the historical date data of earthquake occurrence in Japan from 1854 to 2011,and transforms them into three forms i.e.,m/d/y(month/day/year),m/y(month/year),and y(year).After consistency analysis,ASF method indicates that the next Mw8.1-or-above earthquake most possibly happens on 7 December 2019.

关键词： ASF method earthquake prediction numerical experiments consistency analysis

作者: Yunong Zhang Fangzheng Lai Jiadi Wang Yingbiao Ling Chengxu Ye

作者单位: School of Information Science and Technology,Sun Yat-sen University(SYSU),Guangzhou,510006,China School of Computer Science,Qinghai Normal University,Xining,810008,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2017 IEEE 2nd Advanced Information Technology,Electronic and Automation Control Conference(IAEAC 2017)(2017 IEEE 第2届先进信息技术、电子与自动化控制国际会议)

会议地点: 重庆

会议语种:英文

页码: 745-750

在线出版日期: 2017-03-25（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）