Research on Forecasting Model of Cargo Throughput of Port Group in the Upper Yangtze River

摘要：

　　Along with emergency of the Yangtze River economic belt development strategy, Chongqing and Luzhou, Yibin port group as materials distributed in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River important nodes will play a powerful shipping hub and port, forming new engine of economic growth in Western China.From the data of Chongqing-Luzhou-Yibin port group cargo throughput, this paper aims to predict their future handling capacity based on the time series analysis model of the upper Yangtze river port throughput forecasting, which facilitates a rational analysis of the industry port and hinterland economy supply structure and space layout for people in the field.This method is beneficial to find new train and new measures for its development and worthy of reference for the industry and promotion.

关键词： time series the exponential smoothing regression analysis cascade port group throughput

作者: Ping LI

作者单位: School of Economics and Management, Sichuan Yibin College, Yibin, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 6th International Conference on Logistics and Supply Chain Management 2016(第六届物流工程与供应链管理国际研讨会)

会议地点: 长沙

会议语种:英文

页码: 106-113

在线出版日期: 2016-12-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）