The Application of AHP Multi-Expert Decision-fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method in Large-Scale Social Activities Safety Risk Assessment

摘要：

　　In this paper, a set of three-level index appraisal system is established for the safety risk assessment to the large-scale social activities.To comprehensively consider the opinions of multiple experts, the coefficients d and CI are adopted to measure the consistency between expert judgment bias and judgment matrix, as well as a weighted method which uses CI as a parameter, to obtain the weight of the experts.During the appraisal process, different advices from the experts are fully taken into account to acquire the final ordering vector.Meanwhile, a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is selected to evaluate and determine the membership function of the evaluation indexes.Finally, this set of appraisal method is applied to the crowd stampede accident in the bund of Shanghai.

关键词： Large-scale social activity Multi-expert analytic hierarchy process (AHP) Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method Index system The crowd

作者: Jing Liang Lin Xue Jun-tao Yang

作者单位: Shanghai Fire Research Institute of MPS No.918, Minjing Road, Shanghai, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 8th International Conference on Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics (第八届行人与疏散动力学国际学术会议)

会议地点: 合肥

会议语种:英文

页码: 604-608

在线出版日期: 2016-10-17（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）