Responses to Climate Change of Hydrology and Water Resources in the Yellow River Source Region

摘要：

　　Variation of Precipitation,Temperature and runoff in Yellow River Source Region was analyzed with Mann-Kendall and Spearman method over past 60 years.Based on the ten climate scenarios,responses of hydrological process to climate change were simulated using the Variable Infiltration Capacity model.Results indicated that recorded Temperature in the Yellow River Source Region presented significant increasing trend during over past 60 years.The daily minimum temperature presents higher increasing trend than the daily maximum temperature.Yearly gross precipitation presents minor increasing,and the year runoff present minor decreasing.The runoff and soil moisture will likely undergo decreasing trend and the heterogeneity on Runoff Process will be increase in the future.Much more drought may threaten the social development in this region in the fu

关键词： Yellow River source region climate change climate scenario hydrological responses drought

作者: Jin Junliang Zhang Jianyun Wang Guoqing Gu Ying Liu Cuishan He Ruimin

作者单位: The State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering ,Nanjing Hydraulic R The State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering ,Nanjing Hydraulic R

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 5th International Yellow River Forum (第五届黄河国际论坛)

会议地点: 郑州

会议语种:英文

页码: 70-79

在线出版日期: 2012-09-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）