Runoff Simulation Study of the SWAT Model in Xilin River Basin

摘要：

　　Taking the Xilin River basin as study area,the changes in runoff simulation research were studied with distributed hydrological SWAT model.Through the discussion for the applicability of the model in study area,changed trend of the runoff under change scenarios in different climates was analyzed and forecasted further.During the simulation process,data series from 1963 ~ 1975 were used to calibrate the SWAT model,and periods of 1976 ~ 1985 were employed to validate model.Results indicate that SWAT model matches well in simulating the change process of runoff.Nash-Sutcliffe coefficients during calibration period and validation period are both above 0.60,and the correlation coefficients between recorded and simulated of monthly discharge are all above 0.8,so it has certain applicability in the same region.It is sensitive related between the monthly discharge and the precipitation,which is slightly higher.The discharge in Xilin River Basin will decrease first and then increase in the future climate change scenarios.

关键词： Xilin River SWAT model discharge simulation climate scenarios

作者: Yao Suhong Zhu Zhongyuan Li Yang Xiu Haifeng Zhang Sulu

作者单位: Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering College of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Huhhot ,01 Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering College of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Huhhot ,01 Pingyang County Water Conservancy Bureau, Pingyang,325400, China Inner Mongolia Third Geological Mineral Exploration Institute, Huhhot ,010000, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 5th International Yellow River Forum (第五届黄河国际论坛)

会议地点: 郑州

会议语种:英文

页码: 130-138

在线出版日期: 2012-09-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）