Enterprise Risk Rank Assessment and Predictive Analysis based on the Baye Network Model

摘要：

　　This paper has analyzed business risk factor in chinese enterprise, and has carried on the recognition to the risk factor.Based on this using the Baye network model, carries on the appraisal and the predictive analysis to the business risk rank.The findings indicated that in 2011 the enterprise operational risk and the financial risk basicily are in low risk ; Looking from the industry distribution, is in the highest financial risk ;industry to have the lumber, the furniture industry, the medicine, the biological preparations industry and so on; Is in the finance low risk mainly to have industrys and so on transportation and warehousing industry, machinery, equipment and measuring appliance.The lumber, the furniture industry and the real estate industry has 30% above companies to be in the highest operational risk ; The petroleum, chemistry, the revertex, industrys and so on plastic industry have 30% above companys operational risk to be in the higher risk ; Industrys and so on papermaking, printing trade have 30% companys operational risk to be in low risk the rank.

关键词： Operating risk Financial risk Risk identify Risk management Risk predict

作者: Shao Jun Wang Shuangcheng Yuan Min

作者单位: Shanghai Lixin University of Commerce, Shanghai, China 201620

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 5th Conference on Chinas Economic Operation Risk Management(2011`Shanghai)(第五届中国立信风险管理论坛)

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 245-257

在线出版日期: 2011-11-04（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）