Study and Composition of Decomposition of the price of Agricultural Products

摘要：

　　According to the data characteristics of pigs、 eggs and early indica rice, rice varieties broken down into the season, trend, cycle, and the random component, with the method of X-12, H-P Adjustments and estimate.It turns out that: random shocks in most years less the impact of pigs、 eggs and early indica rice prices, deterministic trend is dominated by abnormal price fluctuations less.In addition, the pig、 egg and early indica rice price since 2000 experienced a total of three complete cycles, average cycle length of 39 months.

关键词： Agricultural prices decomposition Component estimates

作者: WAN Zhong BAI Lin LIN Weijun FANG Wei DUAN Dongxia

作者单位: Institute of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development in Guangdong Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2013 World Agricultural Outlook Conference(2013世界农业展望大会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 69-75

在线出版日期: 2013-06-06（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）