The Research on the Adaptation of Grain Production in China to Climate Changes Based on Structural Equation Model

摘要：

　　This paper uses the year data from 1998 to 2009, according to the MIMIC model in structure equation model to construct the adaptability system model of Chinas climate change to grain production, and makes an empirical research, found that sows area, the consumption of chemical fertilizers, agricultural water conservancy construction expenditure and the rainfall affects the maximum on grain production yield fluctuation of our country ; then according to the estimation results calculated the latent variable intensity fluctuation of grain yield, found that the grain production fluctuation of output intensity in future is further toward the positive trend.

关键词： The Structural Equation Model Grain Production Climate Changes MIMIC Model

作者: Jiliang Xue

作者单位: School of Economy and Management, Inner Mongolia University, Huhhot Inner Mongolia 010021

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2013International Conference on Energy Engineering and Environmental Engineering(2013年能源工程与环境工程国际会议)(ICEEEE2013)

会议地点: 杭州

会议语种:英文

页码: 340-344

在线出版日期: 2013-01-18（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）