Study of the Quantitative Evaluation of Tourism in Shanghai Based on the World Exhibition or Exposition
To make better analysis on the effect of every stage of the Expo on the tourism in Shanghai and predict Expo effect,the dissertation analyses every stage of the Expo by setting up the autoregression model ARMA(p,q) and gray model GM(1,1)and using MATLAB and weighted fitting line,and acquires the predicted value of the tourist number entering the country in following five years.The experiment shows that we can get the following points by analyzing data in the table.The Expo can bring the vast tourist source to the tourism in Shanghai,increase income of tourism,push the infrastructure construction of the tourism forward,improve the image of the tourism in Shanghai and realize the evaluation and generalization based on the model.
component Harmonic Analysis of Time Series trend extrapolation autoregression model ARMA(p,q) gray model GM(1,1)
Jia Tong Yu
Basic Department of College of General Education, Harbin Huade School Harbin, China
国际会议
太原
英文
1121-1124
2012-12-08（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）