Comparative Study on Landslide Hazard Deformation Forecast Method

摘要：

　　The key problem which the control of landslide hazard is the prediction of landslide fatalness, successful landslide forecast can consumedly decrease the loss caused by landslide hazard.Landslide spatial forecast can determine the location of unstable slope.For a certain landslide in Three Gorges Reservoir area, according to the existing monitoring data and analysis methods, such as: nonlinear regression analysis method, exponential smoothing and gray prediction method, to forecast deformation tendency of landslide from quantitative point and take comparative study.Results indicate that the gray prediction method is more tally with the reality in the deformation prediction.It can provide reference for deformation forecast of similar landslide or slope prevention in chongqing and Three Gorges Reservoir area.

关键词： Landslide hazard Deformation Gray prediction Comparative study

作者: Hua FU Jingli Yang Jinhua Zhang Mingwei Liu

作者单位: School of River and Ocean Engineering,Chongqing Jiaotong University,Chongqing,400074,P.R.China Changjiang Chongqing Harbor and Waterway Engineering Investigation and Design Institude,Chongqing,Ch

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: the 2012 International Conference on Vibration, Structural Engineering and Measurement (2012年振动、结构工程与测量国际会议(ICVSEM2012))

会议地点: 上海

会议语种:英文

页码: 1318-1321

在线出版日期: 2012-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）