A Mathematical Model for the Income Forecasting in Venture Capital Based on Markov Chain

摘要：

　　Venture capital is a new kind of investment,and the forecasting for its income is more complicated,more professional than the traditional financial investment forecasting.The paper proposes a mathematical model for the income forecasting in venture capital based on Markov chain,and uses fitting matrix to estimate the 1st-diversion probability matrix.Finally,an example is computed,which is a real data in a certain trade of venture capital,and it shows the validity of the method.The mathematical model has some positive effect for the development of venture capital.

关键词： venture capital Markov chain forecasting fitting

作者: Ouyang Bin

作者单位: Department Ⅱ of Management Science & Ecomics Xijing College Xian City,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2012 IEEE 5th International Conference on Management Engineering & Technology of Statistics (第五届(2012)管理工程与统计技术国际学术研讨会(ICMETS2012))

会议地点: 青岛

会议语种:英文

页码: 74-76

在线出版日期: 2012-07-20（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）