会议专题

Impact of Interest Rate Adjustments on the Volatility of Overnight Return in Chinas Stock Market

  In the paper,GARCH models are used to analyze the impact of interest rate adjustment on the volatility of overnight return of Shanghai Composite Index in Chinas stock market.In particular,we use GARCH model based t distribution,TGARCH,EGARCH and GARCH-M models based on normal distribution to analyze the impact of the interest rate adjustment from Sept.16,2008 on volatility of overnight return of the Shanghai Composite Index in Chinas stock market based on three months before and six months after that day.Using all these models,we reached the conclusions that the reduction of interest rates increases the volatility of overnight return of the Shanghai Composite Index.As the overnight return reflects the impact of the government policy to the volatility of stock market,the conclusion may provide some suggestions to policy making in China.

overnight return GARCH models volatility interest rate adjustment

Jiping YANG Zhen LIU Xiaoxuan CHEN

School of Economics and Management Beihang University,Beijing,China State Grid Electric Power Research Institute Nanjing,China

国际会议

2012 IEEE 5th International Conference on Management Engineering & Technology of Statistics (第五届(2012)管理工程与统计技术国际学术研讨会(ICMETS2012))

青岛

英文

77-82

2012-07-20(万方平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)