Research on area risk assessment for chemical park based on domino effect model

摘要：

　　The area risk assessment model in consideration of domino effect has been build in order to carry out the overall quantitative risk assessment for chemical parks,then to provide a scientific basis for making safety plan and safety management of chemical parks.The consequence and probability model of domino effect initiated by fire and explosion has been established from three respects of heat load,blast wave load and explosion fragment load,according to domino effect mechanism.The area risk assessment procedure based on the domino effect is proposed,and the calculation models of individual risk and social risk on the basis of the domino extension probability are established taking target unit as the core.The conclusion of the example shows that the domino effect will increase significantly the individual risk value of the region,so it is very necessary to analyze the domino effect of chemical parks.

关键词： domino effect area risk assessment chemical parks domino extension probability individual risk social risk

作者: LIU Aihua WU Chao PENG Xiaoqin

作者单位: School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China;Zhuhai Cam School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China Zhuhai Campus,Beijing Institute of Technology,Zhuhai 519085,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2012 International Symposium on Safety Science and Technology (2012安全科学与技术国际会议)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 47-52

在线出版日期: 2012-10-23（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）