The Relationship between the Entrepreneur Confidence and Economic Fluctuation of Chinas Cotton-textile Industry

摘要：

　　The goal of this paper is to study the relationship between entrepreneur confidence and economic fluctuation of Chinas cotton-textile industry.The entrepreneur confidence is decomposed into basic faith and animal spirit.By studying on the influence factors of basic faith,we find the gross output growth rate ot cotton-textlie industry;CPI,interest rate and China cotton index have fundamental influence on confidence of basic faith With VAR model,the dynamic influence of animal spirit on cotton-textile industry economy is studied and found animal spirit has significant short-term effect on the economic growth of cotton-textile industry,CPI and interest rate And the influencing mechanism is complying with characteristics of total cotton demand impact.

关键词： entrepreneur confidence animal spirit economic fluctuation of cotton-textile industry CPI

作者: Yulan Chen Haizheng Yang Yulan Song

作者单位: School of Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,100190;School of Economy&Trad School of Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing,100190;Academy of macroeconom School of Economy&Trade,Xinjiang Agriculture University,Urumqi,China,830000;Key Research Center of H

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2013 International Conference on Information, Business and Education Technology (2013信息、商业与教育技术国际会议(ICIBET 2013))

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 392-399

在线出版日期: 2013-03-14（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）