Water Environment Safety Degree Assessment Based on System Dynamics Approach
Water environment safety is increasingly gaining public attention in recent years.To assess the degree of water environment safety,an evaluation index system associated with system dynamics (SD) was built.Water environment safety degree (WESD) is affected by a comprehensive system.As the effective tool for complex system simulation,SD approach was used to simulate the relationship between water environment and social activity.Taking Zhejiang Province as an example,the study was on the assessment of WESD from 2003 to 2010 and prediction from 2011 to 2015 in high,normal,low development scenarios.Results suggest that index parameters should be revised according to the development of society in order to get more accurate and reliable assessment results,and that the approach is reasonable to mimic the actual situation and to predict the future water environment safety degree.
water environment safety system dynamics(SD) Zhejiang Province
Yiming Zhong Jin Jia Weijun Wang Lihong Wang
Department of Environmental Science;Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Organic Pollution and Control Zhejiang University Hangzhou, 310058, China
国际会议
兰州
英文
1-5
2012-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）