A Time Series Forecasting Based on ARIMA for Minqin Value of Output Related to Water Resources

摘要：

　　For a long time,how to utilize water resources rationally has influenced Minqin economic,ecological and social benefits.Through analyzing Minqin Value of Output Related to Water Resources from 1956 to 2009,this paper determines the appropriate Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA),forecases Minqin Value of Output Related to Water Resource from 2010 to 2015.The results show that the ARIMA model is effective and forecast data can be trusted.

关键词： time series ARIMA value of output related to water resources forecasting

作者: Xingdong Li Zhengcheng Zhang

作者单位: School of Mathematics , Physics and Software Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University Lanzhou 730070 School of Mathematics, Physics and Software Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University Lanzhou 730070,

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2012年水资源综合管理地理信息国际会议

会议地点: 兰州

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-4

在线出版日期: 2012-10-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）