The Calculation of Beijing Potential Economic Growth Rate in the Future
This paper use the productive function method for the estimation of the 1978-2010 years of potential economic growth rate in Beijing in the aspect of the capital, labor and the total factor productivity. It predict that the potential economic growth rate of Beijing city range from 7％ to 8％ in 12th Five-Year Plan. Then it fall to 4.2％-5.2％ in 2020, and fall to 3％-4％ in 2030. The declination of potential economic growth rate will give the economic development of Beijing city a great challenge.
Potential economic growth rate Method of productive function Capital stock
CHEN Zhenling LIU Yijun
Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, 100190
国际会议
The Ninth International Forum--International Trade and Investment(第九届国际贸易与投资国际论坛)
昆明
英文
349-353
2012-07-13（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）