Prediction And Analysis of The Household Savings Based on The Multiplicative Seasonality Model

摘要：

Household savings represent the purchasing power of the remaining of the disposable income after getting ride of consumption. For predicting on household savings is extremely important. The existing prediction model of household savings usually use traditional methods—regression prediction method. However, the paper uses the method of multiplicative seasonality model of time series to analysis and predicts the rest of household saving, and derives that the ideal prediction model of ARIMA(2,1,1) (1,1,1,).

关键词： household saving multiplicative seasonality ARIMA Model prediction

作者: Ruicheng Yang Maoxiu Pang Xingmin Yang

作者单位: Finance School Inner Mongolia Finance and Economics University Hohhot 010051,China chool of Mathemat School of Mathematic and Information Ludong University Yantai, Shandong Province, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2012 IEEE 3rd International Conference on Software Engineering and Service Science(第三届IEEE软件工程与服务科学国际会议 ICSESS2010)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 624-626

在线出版日期: 2012-06-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）