Application of Expert Judgment Method in the Aircraft Wiring Risk Assessment

摘要：

The FAA has developed a risk assessment means for the electrical wiring interconnection system, in which expert judgment plays an important role.However, the huge number of complex judgment will lead to high probability that the experts make the wrong choice.An evaluation and validation of the expert judgment before using the data is necessary.This paper discusses and reviews the evaluation method for the expert judgment from the two aspects: the validation of each expert judgment and the coefficient of agreement as a group, and gets certain feedbacks though an application of the method in a Chinese aircraft type.

关键词： Paired comparison Expert judgment EWIS Aircraft wiring risk assessment.

作者: WANG Peng MA Zan TIAN Yi

作者单位: Airworthiness Certification Technique Management and Research Center,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 航空器适航技术与管理国际会议 ISAA 2011

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 440-445

在线出版日期: 2011-10-01（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）