Forecasting the Mobile Terminal Technology with TFDEA method

摘要：

With the accelerating pace of technological innovation, the uncertainty of technology development is also increasing, so it is important to estimate the trend of technology development through scientific and reasonable technology foresight. One of the recent foresight methods is TFDEA, which is based on data envelopment analysis and is theorectically an effective quantitative approach for technology forecasting. However, the application and research of TFDEA are relatively modest. In this paper, TFDEA is applied in assessing and forecasting the quantitative trends in the mobile terminal technology with its effectiveness tested.

关键词： technology foresight mobile terminal TFDEA method

作者: Ren Haiying Cao Meng

作者单位: Economics and Management School Beijing University of Technology Beijing, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 International Conference on Computer Science and Network Technology(2011计算机科学与网络技术国际会议 ICCSNT 2011)

会议地点: 哈尔滨

会议语种:英文

页码: 1939-1942

在线出版日期: 2011-12-24（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）