Forecasting for the Freeway Traffic Accidents Base on Markov Model

摘要：

Frequent fatal accidents occur on Chinese freeways, and the damage increases in recent years. A challenge to freeway administration is how to accurately forecast the damage caused by accidents in coming period. Factors that will cause fatal accidents are complex, and some of them can not be made clear. In this paper, we use the Markov Chain model, by which the future situation is predicted basing on the characteristic of previous situations, to forecast the damage of a certain freeway in future several months.

关键词： MarkovChain forecasting freeway fatalaccidents

作者: Yan LIN Yan CHEN Guoshun LIN Jun ZHAI

作者单位: Department of Management Science and Engineering,Dalian Maritime UniversityDalian, 116026, P. R. Chi Department of Management Science and Engineering, Dalian Maritime University Dalian, 116026, P. R. C

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 International Conference on Business Management and Electronic Information(2011商业管理与电子信息国际学术会议 BMEI2011)

会议地点: 广州

会议语种:英文

页码: 1-3

在线出版日期: 2011-05-13（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）