Grey Prediction for China □ Energy Supply and Demand Gap of Energy Emergency System Engineering

摘要：

With the rapid economic development, ChinaD energy demand has increased dramatically, the healthy economic development is effected by energy stable supply. Hence, it is quite necessary to study on ChinaOs energy supply and demand gap(ESDP) contribute to the establishment of energy emergency system engineering. In this paper, based on the fully of understanding of ChinaO energy supply and demand situation, the author proposed the improved Grey forecasting model to predict ChinaO ESDP. The results show that proposed approach estimates more accurate results than other forecasting approach. Finally, the author put forward to the related suggestions on solving ChinaD ESDP.

关键词： Grey prediction ESDP energy emergency system engineering

作者: Zhiqiang Chen Xiaojia Wang

作者单位: Institute of Computer Network System.HeFei University of Technology.HeFei AnHui 230009, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: International Symposium on Emergency Management 2011(ISEM‘2011)(第六届国际应急管理论坛暨中国(双法)应急管理专业委员会第七届年会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 244-249

在线出版日期: 2011-11-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）