Emergency Decision-making Model Based on Sequential Games

摘要：

When emergency breaks out, the problem how to make timely and efficiently the emergency decision is focus issue in emergency management. So a mathematical model is established by using dynamic games firstly. Then the process of sequential games between decision maker and emergency is analyzed in detail. The information about emergency is got through finitely sequential games in order to bring forth the optimal relief plan and to provide support for the decision-making when an emergency occurs. Finally, the optimal relief plan that was generated by using the model of sequential games is given by a specific example.

关键词： emergency decision-making sequential games relief plans

作者: YANG Ji-jun XU Chen-hua

作者单位: Guangxi Institute of Administration .Department of Public Administration, Nanning, 530023,China College of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning.530004, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: International Symposium on Emergency Management 2011(ISEM‘2011)(第六届国际应急管理论坛暨中国(双法)应急管理专业委员会第七届年会)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 353-359

在线出版日期: 2011-11-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）