Compound Extreme Value Theory and Its Applications in Emergencies
According to the characteristics of the nature of unexpected events , the number of incidents is in line with discrete random variables, and its loss caused by the disaster is a continuous random variable, It should consider the two variables for analysis, and compound extreme value theory can just meet this demand; It builds compound extreme value distribution model based on the compound extreme value theory, The model uses two variables: the frequency of unexpected events and the resulting catastrophe losses for the emergencies. It gets the relationship between xR (which shows the loss value caused by the emergencies happened only once during T years) and X ,or XR and T through the analysis of the model. The model provides a theoretical basis for the establishment of emergency preparedness systems, which has some reference value for other problems .
Emergencies Multivariate Compound Extreme Value Distribution Poisson-Exponential Extreme Value Distribution Poisson-Weibull Extreme Value Distribution
Dong Qiuxian Xu Dongyang Liu Ruliang
Mathematics Department. Nanchang University, Nanchang Jiangxi, China
国际会议
International Symposium on Emergency Management 2011(ISEM‘2011)(第六届国际应急管理论坛暨中国(双法)应急管理专业委员会第七届年会)
北京
英文
517-520
2011-11-19（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）