The Influencing Factors Analysis of Chinese Carbon Emissions Based on the Co-integration Analysis with the Help of Grey Correlation Analysis(GRA)

摘要：

In order to accomplish the carbon emissions reduction plan, the influencing factors of carbon emissions should be studied in priority.In this paper, grey relational analysis method is employed and several factors are chosen, such as energy consumption, the proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP, foreign trade dependence, which have more grey relational degree with Chinese carbon emissions.With the cointegration analysis method, the cointegration relation of these four variables is studied and the long-term cointegration equation as well as the short-term error correction model of Chinese carbon emissions are established.The comparison between the forecast value and the actual value of Chinese carbon emissions is obtained based on Error correction model and various statistics tests show that the established model has better explaining capability and credibility.

关键词： Carbon emissions GRA co-integration

作者: DONG Feng LI Xiao-hui

作者单位: College of Management China University Of Mining And Technology,Xuzhou,China College of Foreign Languages Yantai University,Yantai,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 153-157

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）