Grey Metabolism-based Dynamic Analysis of the Population of Zhanli Dong Ethnic Minority Village

摘要：

The grey metabolism model is employed to explore the population problem of Zhanli Dong ethnic minority village which is honored as The First Family Planning Village for population development.The outcome shows that the population of Zhanli village will grow gradually in the following years.By analyzing the factors concerning population, it is derived that it must have the joint action from fertility systems constraint, the old-age social security, the support of medical technology, and ideological education to maintain the current population situation.The customary population policy and historical changes happened in Zhanli are significant references for the worlds population controlling, especially in developing countries.

关键词： grey system grey metabolism model Dong Zhanli village population family planning

作者: Zhu Meiling Hu Yanbing Chen Yongming

作者单位: College of Mathematics,Chengdu University of Information Technology,Chengdu,China,610225

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 364-368

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）