Application of Interval GM(1,1) Model for Forecasting the Regional Scientific and Technological Human Resource

摘要：

An accurate prediction on sci-tech human resources input is the premise and foundation of the Governments sci-tech decision-making.Since a lot of intricate and complicated factors can affect the regional net supply of sci-tech talents, and there is less statistical data of the sci-tech innovation talents, it is difficult to extract some statistical laws.This paper proposes a method to make interval prediction on the sci-tech human resources input by means of GM (1,1) model, and then has a simulation and prediction on the sci-tech human resource input of Jiangsu Province by using the above method.The result shows that, the model can simulate and predict the sci-tech human resource input of Jiangsu Province well.

关键词： scientific and technical talents GM(1,1) model development band interval prediction

作者: Xiao Yao Yin HongJian

作者单位: College of Economics and Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 369-372

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）