A Novel GM (1,1) Power Model with Application of Forecasting Port Throughput

摘要：

As to the problem that small sample data often occurred in port throughput prediction, this paper proposes a novel GM (1,1) power model to predict the port throughput of Lianyungang.In terms of parameters setting, GM (1,1) power model is more flexible than the traditional GM (1,1) model.The realistic simulation and prediction results show that, GM (1,1) power model can play better in analysis and modeling on port throughput, when the number of date is less.Furthermore, the model s practicality and reliability are confirmed by a numerical example.

关键词： Grey system GM (1,1) power model port throughput prediction

作者: MO Hong WANG Zheng-xin

作者单位: Business College,Guangxi University,Nanning,530004,China School of Economics and Management,Zhejiang Normal University,Jinhua,321004,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 373-375

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）