Research on City Waste Production Forecast Based on Background Value Optimizing GM(1,1)Model

摘要：

The city waste production forecasting is one of the important prerequisites to develop disposal measures for public services.The city waste systematic management started relatively late in china, the influence factors of waste output are relative larger, and the relationships among the factors are sometimes difficult to accurately described, moreover, the forecasting data sample is seldom.So the errors of the prediction were over large always.Based on the analysis of the traditional prediction GM (1,1) model, the application of background value optimizing GM(l,l)model to city waste production forecasting is proposed in this paper.Comparative analysis the waste production forecasting results of the traditional model and the optimization model in Shanghai between the year 2004 to 2009, it got verified the feasibility and effectiveness of the optimal of the background value in GM (1,1) model.Finally, the optimized GM (1,1) model is used to forecast the future waste production in Shanghai.

关键词： GM(1,1) City Waste Production Forecast Background Value Optimization

作者: Chu Yan Feng Huang Xiao Qiong

作者单位: School of Economics and Management Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 376-379

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）