The Game GERT Network Calculation Model of the Supply Chain Time Delay

摘要：

In the large supply chain network of complex products, the suppliers may delay delivery because of some emergencies.This paper uses GAN network to describes the large supply chain network of complex products, and discusses that downstream enterprises how to make decisions in case of a node occurring delivery delay, which uses mixed strategy game model to deduce the probability distribution of the downstream enterprises decisions.At last, GERT network is employed to solve and analyze the average time and variance of the entire supply chain network from raw materials to final products in case that there is a delivery delay occurring in a node.This paper provides a new decision-making method for the main manufacturer to make further emergency management decision.

关键词： emergency supply chain delay game GERT

作者: SHI Zhao-wen FANG Zhi-geng YANG Bao-hua GUO Ben-hai

作者单位: College of Economics and Management Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing,China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 IEEE International Conference on Grey System and Intelligent Services Joint with the 15th WOSC International Congress on Cybernetics and System(2011 IEEE灰色系统与智能服务国际会议暨系统与控制世界组织第15届年会)

会议地点: 南京

会议语种:英文

页码: 781-786

在线出版日期: 2011-09-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）