Empirical Analysis of Wagners Law: In the Perspective of New Public Management (NPM)—The Case of Australia (1979-2006)

摘要：

New Public Management (NPM) argues that it is a theoretical inclination of government expenditure reduction and a rather livelihood-oriented spending structure. As one of the states initiated the NPM movement, Australia witnessed comprehensive implementation of the essence of NPM in the public administration reform. Its fairly representative that this paper performs an empirical analysis of the Wagners Law by studying changes in Australias government expenditures ever since NPM movement (1979-2006). As for the conclusion of the analysis, there is no long-term stationary correlation of equilibrium between government spending and GDP in Australia. It indicates that GDP is not said to Granger-cause government expenditure, which firmly inosculates with the philosophy of NPM. Considering its global prevalence, it is reasonable to assume that a new worldwide reform tendency has occurred in both government expenditure and its structure ever since the NPM movement, which also implies the end of adaptation period of the Wagners Law.

关键词： NPM Australias government expenditure (1979-2006) Limitations of Wagners Law Empirical analysis

作者: HAO Xiao-wei LIU Hua-ping

作者单位: School of Public Administration, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, PR. China, 610031 Guangyuan Municipal Office in Sichuan Province of State Administration of Taxation, Guangyuan,PR. Ch

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2010 International Conference on Public Administration(6th)(2010 第六届公共管理国际会议)

会议地点: 澳大利亚堪培拉

会议语种:英文

页码: 171-177

在线出版日期: 2010-10-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）