The Research and Development of Prediction and Simulation System for Safety Production
In order to macro-forecast the conditions of the occupational safety all over China, this paper selects some appropriate indicators of social and economic development and statistical indicators of the occupational safety. Besides, the internal relations between the occupational safety and the social and economic development are analyzed through the data in the past 20 years, and a prediction model is obtained by using gray theory and multiple weighted mean methods. Then the occupational safety of China over the next five years is forecasted. Compared with the truthful data, it is concluded that this model has a high precision. Based on the model, the prediction and simulation system of the occupational safety is developed.
Safety Production social and economic development prediction and simulation
JIANG Zhong-an TAN Cong LIU Gong-zhi REN Zhi-gang
Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education for High Efficiency Exploitation and Safety of Metal Mine, U China Academy of Safety Science&Technology,Beijing 100029,China
国际会议
The First International Symposium on Mine Safety Science and Engineering (首届矿山安全科学与工程学术会议)
北京
英文
2-7
2011-10-27（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）