Evaluation of Development Process of Strategic UAV Considering the Risk
Economic evaluation of macro proiects requiring a high volume of investment is one of important issues in the urea of financial research．To deal with this problem．a great number of models such as direct operating COSt， discounted cash flow analysis (e．g．net present value or internal rate of return)．decision tree and real option analysis have been developed．Application of real option analysis has drawn more attention in recent researches because of the ability to assess the flexibility and considering the risk．In the present article． also．this theory is used to evaluate the development process of strategic unmanned aeriaI vehicle(UAV).To do this．a model comprising 4 development stages is used with each stage applying a novel approach to implement the model．in particular．we have tried to calculate and include the risk in an organized form in the model．Results obtained from a case study will be described at the end．
Strategic Reconnaissance Unmanned Aerial Vehichle(UAV) Real Options Theory Risk Nominal Groups Technique
Esmaeel Sabefi lsa Nakhai Kamal Abadi Mahdi Mohammadzadeh Mohsen Sadegh Amalnik
Department of Industrial Engineering,Faculty of Engineering Tarbiat Modares University Tehran,Iran Department of lndustrial Engineering,Faculty of Engineering Tarbiat Modares University Tehran,Iran Department of Industrial Engineering,Faculty of Engineering Tarbiat Modares University Tehran lran Department of Industrial Engineering,College of Engineering University 0f Tehran Tehran,lran
国际会议
海口
英文
63-67
2011-02-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）