Road Accident Death Toll Forecasting Based on Unbiased Gray Verhulst Model

摘要：

On the basis of analyzing the road accident figures of the past a few years, we predict the Road accident Death toll by introducing the unbiased gray verhulst model. By comparing and analyzing the forecasting results of unbiased gray verhulst model and Gray verhulst model, we find the former is more precise than the other. As it is shown, unbiased gray verhulst model forecasting results preferably show the road accident development trend and are feasible.

作者: Zhan Bin Yan Zhi

作者单位: School of Transportation Wuhan University of Technology Wuhan, P.R.China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 International Conference on Product Innovation Management(第六届产品创新管理国际会议)

会议地点: 武汉

会议语种:英文

页码: 570-573

在线出版日期: 2011-07-16（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）