Eliciting Interval Probabilities via Interval-valued Pair-wise Comparisons

摘要：

In recent years, dealing with uncertainty using interval probabilities, such as combination, marginalization, condition, Bayesian inferences, is receiving considerable attention by researchers. However, how to elicit interval probabilities from subjective judgment is a basic problem for the applications of interval probabilities. In this paper, interval-valued pair-wise comparison of possible outcomes is considered to know which one is more likely to occur. Quadratic programming based model is proposed for estimating interval probabilities. Expectation and decision criteria under interval probabilities are given.

作者: Peijun Guo Yuanbing Wang

作者单位: Faculty of Business Administration Yokohama National University Yokohama, 240-8501 Japan

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2010 International Conference on Intelligent Systems and Knowledge Engineering(第五届智能系统与知识工程国际会议)

会议地点: 杭州

会议语种:英文

页码: 102-105

在线出版日期: 2010-11-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）