Modeling Risk Factors Dependence Using Copula Method for Assessing Software Schedule Risk

摘要：

Based on risk factor method, a model for building dependence among risk factors is discussed for assessing schedule risk of software project. Three main risk factors which influence software schedule are described. Copula method is used to model the dependence among risk factor, and Monte Carlo method is adopted to simulate the schedule risk model. The empirical results from a Communication Corporation show that schedule risk of the new software project is overestimated without modeling the dependence among risk factors. Moreover, the model with considering risk factor dependence by Copula can assess the schedule risk accurately.

关键词： Software Risk Management Risk Dependence CODula Trustworthv Software

作者: Dengsheng Wu Hao Song Minglu Li Chen Cai Jianping Li

作者单位: Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences;Graduate University of Chinese Acade School of statistics and Mathematics, Shandong Economic University Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing, 100190, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 2nd International Conference on Software Engineering and Data Mining(IEEE 第二届国际软件工程和数据挖掘学术大会 SEDM 2010)

会议地点: 成都

会议语种:英文

页码: 533-536

在线出版日期: 2010-06-23（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）