Complex Adaptive Analysis of Technology Foresight Systems

摘要：

The technology foresight system features levels， integrity,diversity,openness，self-organizing, self-emerging and dynamic evolution．Based on the indepth research for the complexity and the adaptability of technology foresight system，this paper analyzes the four characteristies of the technology foresight system, namely,aggregation．nonlinearity,flow,diversity and the three mechanisrns：identification，the intemal model， and component．This paper then concludes that technology foresight system is a complex adaptive system consisting of the adaptation Agents，and proposes the flow chart based on the CAS technology foresight．

关键词： Technology foresight complex adaptive systems features

作者: YANG You-hong

作者单位: China Ji liang University,Hangzhou China,310018

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The First International Conference on Complexity Science Management(2010 计算机与软件建模国际会议 ICCSM2010)

会议地点: 武汉

会议语种:英文

页码: 14-19

在线出版日期: 2010-10-22（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）