RISK ANALYSIS OF DOMINO EFFECT TO PETROLEUM CHEMICAL INSTALLATIONS

摘要：

The domino effect may be triggered when the fire or explosion occurs on major hazard installations. Most of the past risk assessment studies can only deal with the secondary escalation of domino effect, but the further escalation of the secondary accident is often neglected. In order to overcome the shortage of the past studies, a systematic quantitative assessment methodology is proposed by the considering the feature and uncertainty of the escalation process of domino effect. Three main aspects are included which are impact probability model of domino effect, analysis of joint influence of the three escalation parameters and risk characterization of domino effect. By the new methodology, the escalation of domino effect in chemical industry paries can be analyzed and the escalation morphology is demonstrated by the visualization of the risk caused by domino effect. The simulated risk cloud figure gives a supplementary way to prevent the domino effect in petroleum chemical industry.

关键词： Domino effect Risk Petro-chemicd installation Application

作者: Zhang Xinmei Chen Guohua

作者单位: Department of Safety Engineering,College of Electromechanical Engineering,China University of Petrol Institute of Safety Science and Engineering,College of Mechanical and Automotive Engineering,Guangzh

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The 3rd World Conference on Safety of Oil and Gas Industry(第三届世界石油天然气工业安全会议 WCOGI 2010)

会议地点: 北京

会议语种:英文

页码: 123-126

在线出版日期: 2010-09-27（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）