Research on the IDSS of Unconventional Emergency Management based on Scenario Analysis and CBR
Unconventional emergency shows typical unconventionally. Its occurrence, development, evolution mechanism are very complicated, and it may touch off serious derivative disasters. So the emergency management pattern of unconventional emergency has to change from Predict-Response to Scenarios-Response. This paper summarized and analyzed the typical features of unconventional emergency in three aspects and the current situation and existing problems in emergency management research and practice. Then a Scenarios-Response intelligent decision support system (IDSS) framework of unconventional emergency management was established based on Scenario Analysis (SA) and Case-Based Reasoning (CBR). The method of SA provided a detailed and rigorous scenario description for the implementation of unconventional emergency case-based reasoning system; the technology of CBR provided a fast and effective emergency plan supporting for the scenario analysis of unconventional emergency. The IDSS of unconventional emergency management based on SA and CBR could predict accurately the scenarios of unconventional emergency, and provide support and reference for achieving rapid and timely decisions-making and emergency rescue, and it has great significance of establishing and promoting the National Emergency Management System.
Unconventional emergency Scenario analysis CBR Scenario-Response IDSS
Yuan Xiaofang Li Hongxia
Safety Management Institute, Key Laboratory of Western Mine Exploitation & Hazard Prevention Ministr School of Management, Energy Economy and Management Research Centre Xian University of Science and
国际会议
北京
英文
45-48
2011-08-08（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）