The Possibility GO Methodology—Analysis of Transportation Network Reliability for Emergency Logistics under Earthquake Disasters
The transportation reliability is a key issue for emergency logistics. Earthquake disasters and secondary disasters with uncertainty may possibly destroy or damage the transportation network. So, forecasting and evaluating the reliability of the transportation network are significant for path selection in emergency logistics management under earthquake disasters. In the study, with possibility theory and GO methodology, the operators are defined, and event success or failure behavior is characterized in the context of possibility measures. Then, the possibility GO methodology, which may forecast the transportation network reliability for emergency logistics under earthquake disasters, is presented considering more actual factors in time of disaster. Finally, a simulation example demonstrates that the proposed method is effective and applicable.
emergency logistics transportation network reliability possibility GO methodology GO methodology possibility theory earthquake disasters
CAI Jian-ming LI Xia-miao
School of Traffic & Transportation Engineering Central South University Changsha 410075, P.R China
国际会议
北京
英文
274-277
2011-08-08（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）