The Effect of Experts on Failure Rate Estimate for Aircraft Risk Assessment

摘要：

Expert experiments are the essential factor to estimate the failure rate during the process of aircraft risk assessment For further discovering the effect of experts on failure rate, we compared the failure rates from many different expert groups. One group is from experimental experts, another is a fresh person, and the last group is composed with proportional experts. The result of comparisons shows that failure rates are not becoming stable with the increase of expert experiments.

关键词： Paried comparision estimate failure rate aircraft risk assessment

作者: Wei Wang

作者单位: Civil Aircraft Airworthiness Certification Technology and Management Research Center Civil Aviation University of China Tianjin, PR China College of Aeronautic Engineering Civil Aviation University of China Tianjin, PR China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 9th International Conference on Reliability,Maintainability and Safety(第九届国际可靠性、维修性、安全性会议 ICRMS2011)

会议地点: 贵阳

会议语种:英文

页码: 565-568

在线出版日期: 2011-06-12（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）