A Comparative Study betweenPrediction-responseandScenario-responsein Unconventional Emergency Decision-making Management

摘要：

In recent years,unconventional emergency exploded frequently,and had shown the complexity and enormous destruction,and other significant characteristics.It had a great impact on peoples daily life and social security and stability. Humans lack of adequate cognition of what kind of event state, the possibilities of its appearance and its harm degrees.The traditionalprediction-responsemode would help decisionmakers take an effective judgment on the possibility of evolution of unconventional emergency evolution,but there are some errors.Started with the definition ofpredictionresponseand scenario-response,this article mainly compares the differences between these decision-making management methods,and then we put forward a new emergency decision-making thought of scenario-responsethat based onpredictionresponse.

关键词： Keywordsprediction-response scenario-response unconventional emergency decision-making management

作者: Jiaju Pang Shiming Li Liang Liu

作者单位: University of Electronic Science and Technology Chengdu,610054

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: The Fourth International Joint Conference on Computational Science and Optimization(第四届计算科学与优化国际大会 CSO 2011)

会议地点: 昆明、丽江

会议语种:英文

页码: 649-652

在线出版日期: 2011-04-15（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）