The Prediction of Mould Project Duration Based on Recursive Network

摘要：

The critical path method (CPM) is often used to make the project plan and predict the project duration in mould manufacturing projects. For generating manageable networks, the CPM networks assume that networks are directed without loops. So in CPM, recursive works are ignored. But in actual mould manufacturing, reworking of tasks are frequent and inevitable, and then they will result in project delaying. So the planned project duration is often less then the actual one. The paper added the loops in the CPM network, and created the prediction model of the duration based on reworking using the Markov chains and solved the probabilities of the mould project duration.

关键词： mould manufacturing duration prediction rework Markov chains

作者: Hu Changwei Chen Xindu Chen Qingxin

作者单位: Faculty of Electromechanical Engineering Guangdong University of Technology Guangzhou, China

会议类型: 国际会议

会议名称: 2011 Fourth International Conference on Intelligent Computation Technology and Automation(2011年第四届智能计算技术与自动化国际会议 ICICTA 2011)

会议地点: 深圳

会议语种:英文

页码: 1229-1232

在线出版日期: 2011-03-28（万方平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）